Santos vs Chapecoense — prediction & probabilities
SantosVS
Chapecoense75%
1 — Santos16%
X9%
2 — ChapecoenseAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Santos
75%
X — Draw
16%
2 — Chapecoense
9%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
46%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
Double chance: Santos or draw
91%
Double chance: draw or Chapecoense
25%
Double chance: either team to win
84%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
56%
Santos to win & over 2.5 goals
51%
Chapecoense to win & over 2.5 goals
5%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
38%
Expected goals
2.39 : 0.7
Most likely score
2 - 0
Suggested market
Santos to win (75%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
SantosChapecoense Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 2.39 vs 0.7
Head-to-head historySantos won 0, Chapecoense won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-01-28Chapecoense4–2
Ahead of Santos vs Chapecoense, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp estimates a 75% chance of a home win, 16% for the draw and 9% for an away win, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Santos to win (75%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 46%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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