Botafogo vs Vitória — prediction & probabilities

BotafogoBotafogo
VSBrasileirão Série A
23 July 2026 at 23:30 BST
VitóriaVitória
49%
1 — Botafogo
23%
X
28%
2 — Vitória
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Botafogo
49%
X — Draw
23%
2 — Vitória
28%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
61%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
81%
Over 3.5 goals
37%
Double chance: Botafogo or draw
72%
Double chance: draw or Vitória
51%
Double chance: either team to win
77%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
52%
Botafogo to win & over 2.5 goals
34%
Vitória to win & over 2.5 goals
18%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
50%
Expected goals
1.8 : 1.29
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (61%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Botafogo BotafogoVitória Vitória
1.32
Attack
0.96
1.17
Defence
0.94
Key statExpected goals: 1.8 vs 1.29
Head-to-head historyBotafogo won 0, Vitória won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (2 draws)
  • 2025-11-09Draw0–0
  • 2025-07-17Draw0–0

Ahead of Botafogo vs Vitória, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.

OddsWasp gives Botafogo a 49% chance of winning, against 28% for Vitória and 23% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 61%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 61%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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