Internacional vs Cruzeiro — prediction & probabilities

InternacionalInternacional
VSBrasileirão Série A
23 July 2026 at 01:30 BST
CruzeiroCruzeiro
40%
1 — Internacional
26%
X
34%
2 — Cruzeiro
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Internacional
40%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Cruzeiro
34%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
55%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
Double chance: Internacional or draw
66%
Double chance: draw or Cruzeiro
60%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
44%
Internacional to win & over 2.5 goals
24%
Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 goals
20%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
43%
Expected goals
1.43 : 1.29
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (55%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
Internacional2.1542.9%40%
Draw3.2028.8%26%
Cruzeiro3.25 opened 3.4028.4%34%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 09:18 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Internacional InternacionalCruzeiro Cruzeiro
1.06
Attack
1.08
1.04
Defence
0.93
Key statExpected goals: 1.43 vs 1.29
Head-to-head historyInternacional won 1, Cruzeiro won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings
  • 2025-08-23Cruzeiro2–1
  • 2025-04-06Internacional3–0

OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Internacional and Cruzeiro through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp estimates a 40% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 34% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Both teams to score — Yes (55%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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