Internacional vs Cruzeiro — prediction & probabilities
InternacionalVS
Cruzeiro40%
1 — Internacional26%
X34%
2 — CruzeiroAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Internacional
40%
X — Draw
26%
2 — Cruzeiro
34%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
55%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
Double chance: Internacional or draw
66%
Double chance: draw or Cruzeiro
60%
Double chance: either team to win
74%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
44%
Internacional to win & over 2.5 goals
24%
Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 goals
20%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
43%
Expected goals
1.43 : 1.29
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (55%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | 2.15 | 42.9% | 40% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.8% | 26% |
| Cruzeiro | 3.25 opened 3.40 | 28.4% | 34% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 09:18 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.43 vs 1.29
Head-to-head historyInternacional won 1, Cruzeiro won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-08-23Cruzeiro2–1
- 2025-04-06Internacional3–0
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Internacional and Cruzeiro through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 40% chance of a home win, 26% for the draw and 34% for an away win, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Both teams to score — Yes (55%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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