Chapecoense vs Flamengo — prediction & probabilities
ChapecoenseVS
Flamengo6%
1 — Chapecoense15%
X79%
2 — FlamengoAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Chapecoense
6%
X — Draw
15%
2 — Flamengo
79%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
36%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
Double chance: Chapecoense or draw
21%
Double chance: draw or Flamengo
94%
Double chance: either team to win
85%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
52%
Chapecoense to win & over 2.5 goals
3%
Flamengo to win & over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
29%
Expected goals
0.5 : 2.33
Most likely score
0 - 2
Suggested market
Flamengo to win (79%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense | 6.00 opened 6.50 | 15.3% | 6% |
| Draw | 4.10 | 22.4% | 15% |
| Flamengo | 1.48 opened 1.43 | 62.3% | 79% |
Flamengo to winEdge on the suggested market: +16.7 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.17
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 08:35 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
ChapecoenseFlamengo Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.5 vs 2.33
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Chapecoense and Flamengo through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp gives Chapecoense a 6% chance of winning, against 79% for Flamengo and 15% for a draw. The most probable score is 0-2.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Flamengo to win, rated at 79%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 36%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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