Coritiba vs Palmeiras — prediction & probabilities
CoritibaVS
Palmeiras17%
1 — Coritiba28%
X55%
2 — PalmeirasAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Coritiba
17%
X — Draw
28%
2 — Palmeiras
55%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
34%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
59%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
Double chance: Coritiba or draw
45%
Double chance: draw or Palmeiras
83%
Double chance: either team to win
72%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
29%
Coritiba to win & over 2.5 goals
6%
Palmeiras to win & over 2.5 goals
24%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
23%
Expected goals
0.62 : 1.37
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Palmeiras to win (55%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 3.40 opened 3.85 | 27.2% | 17% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.9% | 28% |
| Palmeiras | 2.10 opened 1.95 | 44% | 55% |
Palmeiras to winEdge on the suggested market: +11 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.16
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-18 04:55 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
CoritibaPalmeiras Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.62 vs 1.37
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
Ahead of Coritiba vs Palmeiras, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp estimates a 17% chance of a home win, 28% for the draw and 55% for an away win, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Palmeiras to win (55%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 34%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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