Flamengo vs Sao Paulo — prediction & probabilities
FlamengoVS
Sao Paulo70%
1 — Flamengo19%
X11%
2 — Sao PauloAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Flamengo
70%
X — Draw
19%
2 — Sao Paulo
11%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
44%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
Double chance: Flamengo or draw
89%
Double chance: draw or Sao Paulo
30%
Double chance: either team to win
81%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
49%
Flamengo to win & over 2.5 goals
43%
Sao Paulo to win & over 2.5 goals
5%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
35%
Expected goals
2.08 : 0.69
Most likely score
2 - 0
Suggested market
Flamengo to win (70%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
FlamengoSao Paulo Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 2.08 vs 0.69
Head-to-head historyFlamengo won 1, Sao Paulo won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-01-29Sao Paulo2–1
- 2025-11-06Draw2–2
- 2025-07-12Flamengo2–0
Ahead of Flamengo vs Sao Paulo, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp estimates a 70% chance of a home win, 19% for the draw and 11% for an away win, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Flamengo to win, rated at 70%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 52% and both teams to score at 44%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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