Botafogo vs Fluminense — prediction & probabilities
BotafogoVS
Fluminense51%
1 — Botafogo27%
X22%
2 — FluminenseAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Botafogo
51%
X — Draw
27%
2 — Fluminense
22%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Both teams to score
43%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
66%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
Double chance: Botafogo or draw
78%
Double chance: draw or Fluminense
49%
Double chance: either team to win
73%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
35%
Botafogo to win & over 2.5 goals
26%
Fluminense to win & over 2.5 goals
10%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
31%
Expected goals
1.43 : 0.84
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (60%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 2.60 | 35.8% | 51% |
| Draw | 2.95 | 31.5% | 27% |
| Fluminense | 2.85 opened 2.80 | 32.7% | 22% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-05 06:13 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
BotafogoFluminense Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.43 vs 0.84
Head-to-head historyBotafogo won 1, Fluminense won 2 of their last 3 recorded meetings
- 2026-02-12Fluminense1–0
- 2025-09-28Fluminense2–0
- 2025-04-27Botafogo2–0
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Botafogo and Fluminense through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 51% chance of a home win, 27% for the draw and 22% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (60%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 40% and both teams scoring at 43%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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