Coritiba vs Chapecoense — prediction & probabilities
CoritibaVS
Chapecoense66%
1 — Coritiba20%
X14%
2 — ChapecoenseAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Coritiba
66%
X — Draw
20%
2 — Chapecoense
14%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
48%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
Double chance: Coritiba or draw
86%
Double chance: draw or Chapecoense
34%
Double chance: either team to win
80%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
49%
Coritiba to win & over 2.5 goals
41%
Chapecoense to win & over 2.5 goals
7%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
38%
Expected goals
2.01 : 0.8
Most likely score
2 - 0
Suggested market
Coritiba to win (66%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coritiba | 1.63 | 57.1% | 66% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 24.4% | 20% |
| Chapecoense | 5.00 | 18.5% | 14% |
Coritiba to winEdge on the suggested market: +8.9 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.07
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-04 00:30 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
CoritibaChapecoense Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 2.01 vs 0.8
Head-to-head historyCoritiba won 0, Chapecoense won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-02-11Draw3–3
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Coritiba and Chapecoense through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 66% chance of a home win, 20% for the draw and 14% for an away win, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Coritiba to win, rated at 66%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 48%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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