Cruzeiro vs Mirassol — prediction & probabilities
CruzeiroVS
Mirassol49%
1 — Cruzeiro29%
X22%
2 — MirassolAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Cruzeiro
49%
X — Draw
29%
2 — Mirassol
22%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams to score
38%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
60%
Over 3.5 goals
15%
Double chance: Cruzeiro or draw
78%
Double chance: draw or Mirassol
51%
Double chance: either team to win
71%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
30%
Cruzeiro to win & over 2.5 goals
21%
Mirassol to win & over 2.5 goals
8%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
25%
Expected goals
1.28 : 0.75
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (67%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.65 | 56.2% | 49% |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25% | 29% |
| Mirassol | 4.90 | 18.9% | 22% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-05 06:13 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
CruzeiroMirassol Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.28 vs 0.75
Head-to-head historyCruzeiro won 1, Mirassol won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings (2 draws)
- 2026-02-11Draw2–2
- 2025-08-18Draw1–1
- 2025-03-29Cruzeiro2–1
Ahead of Cruzeiro vs Mirassol, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp gives Cruzeiro a 49% chance of winning, against 22% for Mirassol and 29% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-0.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (67%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams scoring at 38%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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