Palmeiras vs Internacional — prediction & probabilities

PalmeirasPalmeiras
VSBrasileirão Série A
9 August 2026 at 20:00 BST
InternacionalInternacional
78%
1 — Palmeiras
15%
X
7%
2 — Internacional
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Palmeiras
78%
X — Draw
15%
2 — Internacional
7%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
37%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
33%
Double chance: Palmeiras or draw
93%
Double chance: draw or Internacional
22%
Double chance: either team to win
85%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
52%
Palmeiras to win & over 2.5 goals
50%
Internacional to win & over 2.5 goals
3%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
30%
Expected goals
2.35 : 0.53
Most likely score
2 - 0
Suggested market
Palmeiras to win (78%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
Palmeiras1.59 opened 1.6158%78%
Draw3.6525.2%15%
Internacional5.5016.8%7%
Palmeiras to winEdge on the suggested market: +20 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.24

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-05 06:13 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Palmeiras PalmeirasInternacional Internacional
1.41
Attack
0.94
0.49
Defence
1.15
Key statExpected goals: 2.35 vs 0.53
Head-to-head historyPalmeiras won 3, Internacional won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings
  • 2026-02-13Palmeiras3–1
  • 2025-09-13Palmeiras4–1
  • 2025-04-16Palmeiras1–0

Ahead of Palmeiras vs Internacional, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.

OddsWasp estimates a 78% chance of a home win, 15% for the draw and 7% for an away win, with 2-0 the single most likely scoreline.

OddsWasp leans towards Palmeiras to win (78%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 37%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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