Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC — prediction & probabilities
Sporting Kansas CityVS
Houston Dynamo FC17%
1 — Sporting Kansas City24%
X58%
2 — Houston Dynamo FCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Sporting Kansas City
17%
X — Draw
24%
2 — Houston Dynamo FC
58%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
44%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
Double chance: Sporting Kansas City or draw
42%
Double chance: draw or Houston Dynamo FC
83%
Double chance: either team to win
76%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
40%
Sporting Kansas City to win & over 2.5 goals
8%
Houston Dynamo FC to win & over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
32%
Expected goals
0.77 : 1.66
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Houston Dynamo FC to win (58%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Kansas City | 3.15 opened 3.05 | 29.2% | 17% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27% | 24% |
| Houston Dynamo FC | 2.10 opened 2.15 | 43.8% | 58% |
Houston Dynamo FC to winEdge on the suggested market: +14.2 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.22
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-29 01:44 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo FC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.77 vs 1.66
Head-to-head historySporting Kansas City won 1, Houston Dynamo FC won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2025-10-19Draw0–0
- 2025-06-01Sporting Kansas City3–1
Ahead of Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo FC, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.
OddsWasp estimates a 17% chance of a home win, 24% for the draw and 58% for an away win, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Houston Dynamo FC to win (58%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 44%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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