CF Montréal vs New England Revolution — prediction & probabilities

CF MontréalCF Montréal
VSMLS
2 August 2026 at 00:30 BST
New England RevolutionNew England Revolution
22%
1 — CF Montréal
33%
X
45%
2 — New England Revolution
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — CF Montréal
22%
X — Draw
33%
2 — New England Revolution
45%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Both teams to score
31%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals
51%
Over 3.5 goals
9%
Double chance: CF Montréal or draw
55%
Double chance: draw or New England Revolution
78%
Double chance: either team to win
67%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
22%
CF Montréal to win & over 2.5 goals
7%
New England Revolution to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
19%
Expected goals
0.64 : 1.06
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (76%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
CF Montréal2.1542.6%22%
Draw3.4026.9%33%
New England Revolution3.0030.5%45%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-28 13:47 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

CF Montréal CF MontréalNew England Revolution New England Revolution
0.74
Attack
0.96
0.96
Defence
0.60
Key statExpected goals: 0.64 vs 1.06
Head-to-head historyCF Montréal won 1, New England Revolution won 2 of their last 3 recorded meetings
  • 2026-04-04New England Revolution3–0
  • 2025-07-25CF Montréal3–1
  • 2025-05-31New England Revolution3–0

Ahead of CF Montréal vs New England Revolution, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp gives CF Montréal a 22% chance of winning, against 45% for New England Revolution and 33% for a draw. The most probable score is 0-1.

OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (76%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 24% and both teams scoring at 31%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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