FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes — prediction & probabilities
FC CincinnatiVS
San Jose Earthquakes49%
1 — FC Cincinnati18%
X32%
2 — San Jose EarthquakesAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — FC Cincinnati
49%
X — Draw
18%
2 — San Jose Earthquakes
32%
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Both teams to score
82%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
71%
Double chance: FC Cincinnati or draw
68%
Double chance: draw or San Jose Earthquakes
51%
Double chance: either team to win
82%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
73%
FC Cincinnati to win & over 2.5 goals
44%
San Jose Earthquakes to win & over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
78%
Expected goals
2.64 : 2.17
Most likely score
2 - 2
Suggested market
Over 2.5 goals (86%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati | 1.91 opened 1.95 | 47.7% | 49% |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.4% | 18% |
| San Jose Earthquakes | 3.15 opened 3.00 | 28.9% | 32% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-28 13:28 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 2.64 vs 2.17
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
OddsWasp compared FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the MLS.
OddsWasp estimates a 49% chance of a home win, 18% for the draw and 32% for an away win, with 2-2 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Over 2.5 goals, rated at 86%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 82%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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