Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders — prediction & probabilities
Portland TimbersVS
Seattle Sounders65%
1 — Portland Timbers21%
X14%
2 — Seattle SoundersAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Portland Timbers
65%
X — Draw
21%
2 — Seattle Sounders
14%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
Both teams to score
45%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
Double chance: Portland Timbers or draw
86%
Double chance: draw or Seattle Sounders
35%
Double chance: either team to win
79%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
46%
Portland Timbers to win & over 2.5 goals
39%
Seattle Sounders to win & over 2.5 goals
7%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
35%
Expected goals
1.93 : 0.74
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Portland Timbers to win (65%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 2.05 opened 2.20 | 44.3% | 65% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.9% | 21% |
| Seattle Sounders | 2.85 opened 2.70 | 31.8% | 14% |
Portland Timbers to winEdge on the suggested market: +20.7 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.33
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-29 01:44 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Portland TimbersSeattle Sounders Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.93 vs 0.74
Head-to-head historyPortland Timbers won 1, Seattle Sounders won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-07-17Portland Timbers5–1
- 2025-10-05Seattle Sounders1–0
- 2025-05-18Draw1–1
OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between Portland Timbers and Seattle Sounders through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 65% chance of a home win, 21% for the draw and 14% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Portland Timbers to win (65%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 45%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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