Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders — prediction & probabilities

Philadelphia Union

VSMLS
26 July 2026 at 00:30 BST

Seattle Sounders

39%

1 — Philadelphia Union

27%

34%

2 — Seattle Sounders

OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Philadelphia Union

39%

X — Draw

27%

2 — Seattle Sounders

34%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Both teams to score

51%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

71%

Over 3.5 goals

24%

Double chance: Philadelphia Union or draw

66%

Double chance: draw or Seattle Sounders

61%

Double chance: either team to win

73%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

39%

Philadelphia Union to win & over 2.5 goals

21%

Seattle Sounders to win & over 2.5 goals

18%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

38%

Expected goals

1.29 : 1.19

Most likely score

1 - 1

Suggested market

Double chance: Philadelphia Union or draw (66%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Philadelphia UnionSeattle Sounders

0.93

Attack

0.73

1.42

Defence

0.96

Key statExpected goals: 1.29 vs 1.19

Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

Ahead of Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.29 for Philadelphia Union and 1.19 for Seattle Sounders, translating into probabilities of 39% (home), 27% (draw) and 34% (away).

OddsWasp leans towards Double chance: Philadelphia Union or draw (66%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 51%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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