Columbus Crew vs New York City FC — prediction & probabilities
Columbus CrewVS
New York City FC38%
1 — Columbus Crew31%
X31%
2 — New York City FCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Columbus Crew
38%
X — Draw
31%
2 — New York City FC
31%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
39%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
59%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
Double chance: Columbus Crew or draw
69%
Double chance: draw or New York City FC
62%
Double chance: either team to win
69%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
28%
Columbus Crew to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
New York City FC to win & over 2.5 goals
12%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
26%
Expected goals
1.06 : 0.92
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (68%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Columbus Crew | 1.91 opened 1.87 | 48% | 38% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 31% |
| New York City FC | 3.50 opened 3.60 | 26.2% | 31% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-18 06:17 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Columbus CrewNew York City FC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.06 vs 0.92
Head-to-head historyColumbus Crew won 0, New York City FC won 2 of their last 3 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-05-10New York City FC3–0
- 2025-09-17New York City FC3–2
- 2025-03-22Draw0–0
Ahead of Columbus Crew vs New York City FC, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.
OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.06 for Columbus Crew and 0.92 for New York City FC, translating into probabilities of 38% (home), 31% (draw) and 31% (away).
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (68%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 39%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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