Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York — prediction & probabilities
Philadelphia UnionVS
Red Bull New York36%
1 — Philadelphia Union23%
X41%
2 — Red Bull New YorkAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Philadelphia Union
36%
X — Draw
23%
2 — Red Bull New York
41%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
66%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
Double chance: Philadelphia Union or draw
59%
Double chance: draw or Red Bull New York
64%
Double chance: either team to win
77%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
55%
Philadelphia Union to win & over 2.5 goals
26%
Red Bull New York to win & over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
56%
Expected goals
1.6 : 1.72
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (66%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union | 1.67 | 54.5% | 36% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 23% |
| Red Bull New York | 4.00 | 22.7% | 41% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-18 06:17 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Philadelphia UnionRed Bull New York Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.6 vs 1.72
Head-to-head historyPhiladelphia Union won 1, Red Bull New York won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-08-16Red Bull New York1–0
- 2025-07-12Philadelphia Union2–0
Ahead of Philadelphia Union vs Red Bull New York, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.
OddsWasp gives Philadelphia Union a 36% chance of winning, against 41% for Red Bull New York and 23% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 66%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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