Orlando City SC vs Nashville SC — prediction & probabilities

Orlando City SC

LIVE0–0MLS
26 July 2026 at 01:46 BST

Nashville SC

13%

1 — Orlando City SC

20%

68%

2 — Nashville SC

OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Orlando City SC

13%

X — Draw

20%

2 — Nashville SC

68%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

Both teams to score

46%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

77%

Over 3.5 goals

31%

Double chance: Orlando City SC or draw

32%

Double chance: draw or Nashville SC

87%

Double chance: either team to win

80%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

49%

Orlando City SC to win & over 2.5 goals

Nashville SC to win & over 2.5 goals

43%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

37%

Expected goals

0.76 : 2.06

Most likely score

0 - 2

Suggested market

Nashville SC to win (68%)

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
Orlando City SC	2.55 opened 3.05	36.4%	13%
Draw	3.60	25.8%	20%
Nashville SC	2.45 opened 2.10	37.9%	68%

Nashville SC to winEdge on the suggested market: +30.1 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.67

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-26 02:17 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Orlando City SCNashville SC

1.27

Attack

1.15

1.56

Defence

0.41

Key statExpected goals: 0.76 vs 2.06

Head-to-head historyOrlando City SC won 1, Nashville SC won 2 of their last 3 recorded meetings

2026-03-21Nashville SC5–0
2025-09-20Orlando City SC3–2
2025-08-24Nashville SC5–1

OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between Orlando City SC and Nashville SC through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp estimates a 13% chance of a home win, 20% for the draw and 68% for an away win, with 0-2 the single most likely scoreline.

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Nashville SC to win, rated at 68%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 46%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).