CF Montréal vs Inter Miami — prediction & probabilities

CF Montréal

VSMLS
26 July 2026 at 00:30 BST

Inter Miami

26%

1 — CF Montréal

19%

55%

2 — Inter Miami

OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — CF Montréal

26%

X — Draw

19%

2 — Inter Miami

55%

Over 2.5 goals

78%

Both teams to score

74%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

92%

Over 3.5 goals

59%

Double chance: CF Montréal or draw

45%

Double chance: draw or Inter Miami

74%

Double chance: either team to win

81%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

67%

CF Montréal to win & over 2.5 goals

21%

Inter Miami to win & over 2.5 goals

46%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

67%

Expected goals

1.66 : 2.44

Most likely score

1 - 2

Suggested market

Inter Miami to win (55%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

CF MontréalInter Miami

0.93

Attack

1.88

1.13

Defence

1.23

Key statExpected goals: 1.66 vs 2.44

Head-to-head historyCF Montréal won 0, Inter Miami won 2 of their last 2 recorded meetings

2025-07-05Inter Miami4–1
2025-05-28Inter Miami4–2

Ahead of CF Montréal vs Inter Miami, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.66 for CF Montréal and 2.44 for Inter Miami, translating into probabilities of 26% (home), 19% (draw) and 55% (away).

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Inter Miami to win, rated at 55%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 78% and both teams to score at 74%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).