New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC — prediction & probabilities
New York City FCVS
Chicago Fire FC28%
1 — New York City FC29%
X43%
2 — Chicago Fire FCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — New York City FC
28%
X — Draw
29%
2 — Chicago Fire FC
43%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams to score
43%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
Double chance: New York City FC or draw
57%
Double chance: draw or Chicago Fire FC
72%
Double chance: either team to win
71%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
33%
New York City FC to win & over 2.5 goals
12%
Chicago Fire FC to win & over 2.5 goals
20%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
30%
Expected goals
0.94 : 1.23
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (63%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
New York City FCChicago Fire FC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.94 vs 1.23
Head-to-head historyNew York City FC won 2, Chicago Fire FC won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-09-14New York City FC3–1
- 2025-05-25New York City FC3–1
Ahead of New York City FC vs Chicago Fire FC, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the MLS.
OddsWasp estimates a 28% chance of a home win, 29% for the draw and 43% for an away win, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (63%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams scoring at 43%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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