Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC — prediction & probabilities

Minnesota United FC

VSMLS
2 August 2026 at 01:30 BST

San Diego FC

35%

1 — Minnesota United FC

32%

33%

2 — San Diego FC

OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

1 — Minnesota United FC

35%

X — Draw

32%

2 — San Diego FC

33%

Over 2.5 goals

29%

Both teams to score

37%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

56%

Over 3.5 goals

12%

Double chance: Minnesota United FC or draw

67%

Double chance: draw or San Diego FC

65%

Double chance: either team to win

68%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

25%

Minnesota United FC to win & over 2.5 goals

13%

San Diego FC to win & over 2.5 goals

12%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

23%

Expected goals

0.95 : 0.92

Most likely score

0 - 0

Suggested market

Under 2.5 goals (71%)

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
Minnesota United FC	1.95 opened 1.91	46.8%	35%
Draw	3.70	24.7%	32%
San Diego FC	3.20 opened 3.30	28.5%	33%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-29 01:44 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Minnesota United FCSan Diego FC

0.61

Attack

1.00

0.80

Defence

1.07

Key statExpected goals: 0.95 vs 0.92

Head-to-head historyMinnesota United FC won 2, San Diego FC won 2 of their last 4 recorded meetings

2026-04-12Minnesota United FC2–1
2025-11-25San Diego FC1–0
2025-09-14Minnesota United FC3–1
2025-06-15San Diego FC4–2

OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between Minnesota United FC and San Diego FC through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 0.95 for Minnesota United FC and 0.92 for San Diego FC, translating into probabilities of 35% (home), 32% (draw) and 33% (away).

OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (71%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 29% and both teams scoring at 37%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).