Estudiantes de La Plata vs Universidad Católica — prediction & probabilities

Estudiantes de La Plata

VSCopa Libertadores
12 August 2026 at 01:30 BST

Universidad Católica

22%

1 — Estudiantes de La Plata

37%

41%

2 — Universidad Católica

OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

1 — Estudiantes de La Plata

22%

X — Draw

37%

2 — Universidad Católica

41%

Over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score

24%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

41%

Over 3.5 goals

Double chance: Estudiantes de La Plata or draw

59%

Double chance: draw or Universidad Católica

78%

Double chance: either team to win

63%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

15%

Estudiantes de La Plata to win & over 2.5 goals

Universidad Católica to win & over 2.5 goals

11%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

13%

Expected goals

0.54 : 0.87

Most likely score

0 - 0

Suggested market

Under 2.5 goals (83%)

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
Estudiantes de La Plata	1.59	58%	22%
Draw	3.65	25.2%	37%
Universidad Católica	5.50	16.8%	41%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-08 02:21 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Estudiantes de La PlataUniversidad Católica

0.81

Attack

1.13

0.67

Defence

0.46

Key statExpected goals: 0.54 vs 0.87

Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Estudiantes de La Plata and Universidad Católica using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Copa Libertadores.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 0.54 for Estudiantes de La Plata and 0.87 for Universidad Católica, translating into probabilities of 22% (home), 37% (draw) and 41% (away).

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 83%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 17% and both teams to score at 24%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).