Deportes Tolima vs Independiente del Valle — prediction & probabilities
Deportes TolimaVS
Independiente del Valle30%
1 — Deportes Tolima27%
X43%
2 — Independiente del ValleAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Deportes Tolima
30%
X — Draw
27%
2 — Independiente del Valle
43%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Both teams to score
50%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
Double chance: Deportes Tolima or draw
57%
Double chance: draw or Independiente del Valle
70%
Double chance: either team to win
73%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
39%
Deportes Tolima to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
Independiente del Valle to win & over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
37%
Expected goals
1.1 : 1.36
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (55%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Tolima | 2.80 opened 2.90 | 32.8% | 30% |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.7% | 27% |
| Independiente del Valle | 2.45 opened 2.40 | 37.5% | 43% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-08 02:21 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Deportes TolimaIndependiente del Valle Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.1 vs 1.36
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
OddsWasp ran this Copa Libertadores meeting between Deportes Tolima and Independiente del Valle through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp gives Deportes Tolima a 30% chance of winning, against 43% for Independiente del Valle and 27% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (55%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 50%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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