Fluminense vs Bahia — prediction & probabilities
FluminenseVS
Bahia43%
1 — Fluminense25%
X32%
2 — BahiaAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Fluminense
43%
X — Draw
25%
2 — Bahia
32%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
58%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
78%
Over 3.5 goals
32%
Double chance: Fluminense or draw
68%
Double chance: draw or Bahia
57%
Double chance: either team to win
75%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
47%
Fluminense to win & over 2.5 goals
27%
Bahia to win & over 2.5 goals
20%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
46%
Expected goals
1.55 : 1.31
Most likely score
1 - 1
Suggested market
Both teams to score — Yes (58%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
FluminenseBahia Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.55 vs 1.31
Head-to-head historyFluminense won 1, Bahia won 0 of their last 3 recorded meetings (2 draws)
- 2026-02-05Draw1–1
- 2025-12-07Fluminense2–0
- 2025-08-10Draw3–3
Ahead of Fluminense vs Bahia, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp gives Fluminense a 43% chance of winning, against 32% for Bahia and 25% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 58%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 54% and both teams to score at 58%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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