Corinthians vs Athletico-PR — prediction & probabilities
CorinthiansVS
Athletico-PR39%
1 — Corinthians31%
X30%
2 — Athletico-PRAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Corinthians
39%
X — Draw
31%
2 — Athletico-PR
30%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
39%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
59%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
Double chance: Corinthians or draw
70%
Double chance: draw or Athletico-PR
61%
Double chance: either team to win
69%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
28%
Corinthians to win & over 2.5 goals
16%
Athletico-PR to win & over 2.5 goals
12%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
26%
Expected goals
1.07 : 0.9
Most likely score
1 - 0
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (68%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
CorinthiansAthletico-PR Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 1.07 vs 0.9
Head-to-head historyCorinthians won 1, Athletico-PR won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-02-19Corinthians1–0
OddsWasp ran this Brasileirão Série A meeting between Corinthians and Athletico-PR through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 39% chance of a home win, 31% for the draw and 30% for an away win, with 1-0 the single most likely scoreline.
OddsWasp leans towards Under 2.5 goals (68%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 39%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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