Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama — prediction & probabilities
ChapecoenseVS
Vasco da Gama22%
1 — Chapecoense29%
X49%
2 — Vasco da GamaAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — Chapecoense
22%
X — Draw
29%
2 — Vasco da Gama
49%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Both teams to score
40%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
Double chance: Chapecoense or draw
51%
Double chance: draw or Vasco da Gama
78%
Double chance: either team to win
71%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
31%
Chapecoense to win & over 2.5 goals
9%
Vasco da Gama to win & over 2.5 goals
22%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
27%
Expected goals
0.78 : 1.31
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (65%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
ChapecoenseVasco da Gama Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.78 vs 1.31
Head-to-head historyChapecoense won 0, Vasco da Gama won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings (1 draws)
- 2026-02-05Draw1–1
OddsWasp compared Chapecoense and Vasco da Gama using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the Brasileirão Série A.
OddsWasp estimates a 22% chance of a home win, 29% for the draw and 49% for an away win, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 65%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 40%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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