Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury — prediction & probabilities

Washington MysticsWashington Mystics
VSWNBA
9 August 2026 at 20:00 BST
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury
65%
Washington Mystics
35%
Phoenix Mercury
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Washington Mystics
65%
Phoenix Mercury
35%
Over 164.5 points
61%

More markets to explore

Washington Mystics to win by 4.5+ points
50%
Phoenix Mercury to win by 4.5+ points
22%
Projected score
87 - 83
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Washington Mystics to win (65%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Washington Mystics Washington MysticsPhoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury
81.6
Attack
88.0
80.1
Defence
89.4
Key statExpected points: 87 vs 83
Head-to-head historyWashington Mystics won 0, Phoenix Mercury won 3 of their last 3 recorded meetings
  • 2025-09-04Phoenix Mercury75–69
  • 2025-07-27Phoenix Mercury88–72
  • 2025-05-25Phoenix Mercury68–62

OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Washington Mystics and Phoenix Mercury on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.

OddsWasp gives Washington Mystics a 65% chance of winning against 35% for Phoenix Mercury, with a projected score of 87-83.

On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 170 points; its strongest read is Washington Mystics to win (65%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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