Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury — prediction & probabilities

Atlanta DreamAtlanta Dream
VSWNBA
6 August 2026 at 00:00 BST
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury
69%
Atlanta Dream
31%
Phoenix Mercury
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Atlanta Dream
69%
Phoenix Mercury
31%
Over 164.5 points
73%

More markets to explore

Atlanta Dream to win by 5.5+ points
51%
Phoenix Mercury to win by 5.5+ points
16%
Projected score
91 - 85
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Atlanta Dream to win (69%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Atlanta Dream Atlanta DreamPhoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury
91.4
Attack
84.4
88.5
Defence
87.2
Key statExpected points: 91 vs 85
Head-to-head historyAtlanta Dream won 4, Phoenix Mercury won 0 of their last 4 recorded meetings
  • 2026-05-24Atlanta Dream82–80
  • 2025-08-10Atlanta Dream74–66
  • 2025-08-01Atlanta Dream95–72
  • 2025-07-24Atlanta Dream90–79

OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Atlanta Dream and Phoenix Mercury on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.

OddsWasp gives Atlanta Dream a 69% chance of winning against 31% for Phoenix Mercury, with a projected score of 91-85.

On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 176 points; its strongest read is Atlanta Dream to win (69%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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