Las Vegas Aces vs New York Liberty — prediction & probabilities

Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces
VSWNBA
31 July 2026 at 03:00 BST
New York LibertyNew York Liberty
70%
Las Vegas Aces
30%
New York Liberty
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Las Vegas Aces
70%
New York Liberty
30%
Over 164.5 points
81%

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Las Vegas Aces to win by 6.5+ points
49%
New York Liberty to win by 6.5+ points
14%
Projected score
93 - 87
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Las Vegas Aces to win (70%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas AcesNew York Liberty New York Liberty
92.0
Attack
89.7
87.7
Defence
91.7
Key statExpected points: 93 vs 87
Head-to-head historyLas Vegas Aces won 1, New York Liberty won 4 of their last 5 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-30New York Liberty93–85
  • 2026-06-24New York Liberty87–76
  • 2025-08-14Las Vegas Aces83–77
  • 2025-07-09New York Liberty87–78
  • 2025-05-17New York Liberty92–78

OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Las Vegas Aces and New York Liberty on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.

OddsWasp gives Las Vegas Aces a 70% chance of winning against 30% for New York Liberty, with a projected score of 93-87.

On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 180 points; its strongest read is Las Vegas Aces to win (70%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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