Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty — prediction & probabilities

Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
VSWNBA
29 July 2026 at 03:00 BST
New York LibertyNew York Liberty
52%
Los Angeles Sparks
48%
New York Liberty
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Los Angeles Sparks
52%
New York Liberty
48%
Over 164.5 points
83%

More markets to explore

Los Angeles Sparks to win by 0.5+ points
50%
New York Liberty to win by 0.5+ points
47%
Projected score
91 - 90
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Over 164.5 points (83%)

Market check

OddsMarket (no-vig)OddsWasp
Los Angeles Sparks2.49 opened 2.3538.4%52%
New York Liberty1.55 opened 1.6161.6%48%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-25 01:13 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Los Angeles Sparks Los Angeles SparksNew York Liberty New York Liberty
87.2
Attack
89.7
94.2
Defence
91.7
Key statExpected points: 91 vs 90
Head-to-head historyLos Angeles Sparks won 2, New York Liberty won 2 of their last 4 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-22Los Angeles Sparks98–97
  • 2025-08-13New York Liberty105–97
  • 2025-07-26Los Angeles Sparks101–99
  • 2025-07-03New York Liberty89–79

OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Los Angeles Sparks and New York Liberty on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.

OddsWasp gives Los Angeles Sparks a 52% chance of winning against 48% for New York Liberty, with a projected score of 91-90.

On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 181 points; its strongest read is Over 164.5 points (83%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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