Chicago Sky vs Phoenix Mercury — prediction & probabilities

Chicago SkyChicago Sky
VSWNBA
4 August 2026 at 02:00 BST
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury
66%
Chicago Sky
34%
Phoenix Mercury
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Chicago Sky
66%
Phoenix Mercury
34%
Over 164.5 points
78%

More markets to explore

Chicago Sky to win by 4.5+ points
51%
Phoenix Mercury to win by 4.5+ points
21%
Projected score
92 - 87
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Chicago Sky to win (66%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Chicago Sky Chicago SkyPhoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury
92.9
Attack
84.4
92.0
Defence
87.2
Key statExpected points: 92 vs 87
Head-to-head historyChicago Sky won 1, Phoenix Mercury won 6 of their last 7 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-08Chicago Sky77–66
  • 2026-05-16Phoenix Mercury91–83
  • 2026-04-25Phoenix Mercury108–104
  • 2025-08-29Phoenix Mercury83–79
  • 2025-08-03Phoenix Mercury83–67

OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Chicago Sky and Phoenix Mercury on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.

OddsWasp gives Chicago Sky a 66% chance of winning against 34% for Phoenix Mercury, with a projected score of 92-87.

On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 179 points; its strongest read is Chicago Sky to win (66%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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