Phoenix Mercury vs Golden State Valkyries — prediction & probabilities
Phoenix MercuryVS
Golden State Valkyries44%
Phoenix Mercury56%
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Phoenix Mercury
44%
Golden State Valkyries
56%
Over 164.5 points
43%
More markets to explore
Phoenix Mercury to win by 1.5+ points
39%
Golden State Valkyries to win by 1.5+ points
51%
Projected score
80 - 81
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Golden State Valkyries to win (56%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Mercury | 2.62 | 36.5% | 44% |
| Golden State Valkyries | 1.51 | 63.5% | 56% |
Golden State Valkyries to winEdge on the suggested market: -7.5 ppExpected value per 1 staked: -0.16
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-26 02:15 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Phoenix MercuryGolden State Valkyries Attack
Defence
Key statExpected points: 80 vs 81
Head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury won 4, Golden State Valkyries won 3 of their last 7 recorded meetings
- 2026-06-10Golden State Valkyries87–81
- 2026-05-11Golden State Valkyries95–79
- 2025-08-23Phoenix Mercury81–72
- 2025-08-20Phoenix Mercury98–91
- 2025-07-15Phoenix Mercury78–77
OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Phoenix Mercury and Golden State Valkyries on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.
OddsWasp gives Phoenix Mercury a 44% chance of winning against 56% for Golden State Valkyries, with a projected score of 80-81.
On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 161 points; its strongest read is Golden State Valkyries to win (56%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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