Statistical predictions for football, basketball & tennis
Every prediction is calculated by OddsWasp using a transparent, published method — Poisson goal expectancy for football, strength ratings for basketball and Elo ratings for tennis. Probabilities, not promises.
Did OddsWasp call it yesterday?
House picks for today
France0
Spain2
Minnesota Lynx104
Phoenix Mercury100
Connecticut Sun90
Portland Fire87Today's strongest OddsWasp picks
KuPS Kuopio2
Vardar3
Iberia 19992
Flora2
Lincoln Red Imps1
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Riga FC3
Ararat-Armenia2
Leagues
Leagues
Leagues
Predictions by date
How OddsWasp analyzes matches
For football, OddsWasp calculates an independent Poisson goal expectancy: each team gets an attack and a defence rating, which combine with home advantage into expected goals for both sides. From the full score matrix, OddsWasp derives 1X2 probabilities, over/under 2.5 goals and both-teams-to-score.
OddsWasp's basketball predictions blend each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage. Win probability comes from the distribution of point margins; the totals suggestion from the projected combined score.
OddsWasp's tennis predictions use Elo ratings, covering Grand Slams, ATP/WTA 1000 events and the tour Finals: the gap between two players' ratings converts directly into a win probability, the same method used to rank chess players.
These are probabilities OddsWasp estimates from strength ratings — not guarantees, not inside information. A 65% favourite still loses about one match in three. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.