Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever — prediction & probabilities

Las Vegas AcesLas Vegas Aces
FINAL75109WNBA
13 July 2026 · 02:00
Indiana FeverIndiana Fever
Incorrect prediction

OddsWasp suggested Las Vegas Aces to win (71%), but the final result was different: 75–109.

Other markets

Over 164.5 points54%
71%
Las Vegas Aces
29%
Indiana Fever
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Las Vegas Aces
71%
Indiana Fever
29%
Over 164.5 points
54%
Projected score
87 - 80
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Las Vegas Aces to win (71%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas AcesIndiana Fever Indiana Fever
86.0
Attack
83.0
80.0
Defence
84.0
Key statExpected points: 87 vs 80
Head-to-head historyLas Vegas Aces won 4, Indiana Fever won 5 of their last 9 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-05Indiana Fever68–84
  • 2025-10-01Las Vegas Aces107–98
  • 2025-09-28Indiana Fever83–90
  • 2025-09-26Las Vegas Aces84–72
  • 2025-09-24Las Vegas Aces90–68

OddsWasp projected Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever by blending each team's offensive rating with the opponent's defensive rating, plus home-court advantage in the WNBA.

OddsWasp's projection favours a final around 87-80, which translates to win probabilities of 71% for Las Vegas Aces and 29% for Indiana Fever.

With a projected total of 167 points, OddsWasp's strongest read is Las Vegas Aces to win at 71%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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