Riga FC vs Ararat-Armenia — prediction & probabilities

Riga FC

FINAL3–2UEFA Champions League Qualifying
14 July 2026 · 18:00

Ararat-Armenia

✓Correct prediction

OddsWasp suggested Both teams to score — Yes (52%) — and the result confirmed it: 3–2.

Other markets

Over 2.5 goals48% ✓

Both teams to score52% ✓

44%

1 — Riga FC

26%

30%

2 — Ararat-Armenia

OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

1 — Riga FC

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — Ararat-Armenia

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

Suggested market

Both teams to score — Yes (52%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Riga FCArarat-Armenia

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historyRiga FC won 0, Ararat-Armenia won 1 of their last 1 recorded meetings

2026-07-07Ararat-Armenia0–2

Ahead of Riga FC vs Ararat-Armenia, OddsWasp calculated expected goals for both sides from their attack and defence ratings in the UEFA Champions League Qualifying.

OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 1.45 for Riga FC and 1.15 for Ararat-Armenia, translating into probabilities of 44% (home), 26% (draw) and 30% (away).

Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Both teams to score — Yes, rated at 52%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).