Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek — prediction & probabilities

Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
9 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Iga SwiatekIga Swiatek
35%
Marta Kostyuk
65%
Iga Swiatek
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Marta Kostyuk
35%
Iga Swiatek
65%
Straight sets
52%
Match goes the distance
48%
Suggested market
Iga Swiatek to win (65%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Marta Kostyuk Marta KostyukIga Swiatek Iga Swiatek
2072
Elo rating
2180
Key statWorld ranking: Marta Kostyuk #11 · Iga Swiatek #8
Head-to-head historyMarta Kostyuk won 1, Iga Swiatek won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-05-31Marta Kostyuk(15) Marta Kostyuk (UKR) bt (3) Iga Swiatek (POL) 7-5 6-1

OddsWasp ran Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Marta Kostyuk a 35% chance of winning the match, against 65% for Iga Swiatek.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Iga Swiatek to win (65%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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