Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — prediction & probabilities

Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
6 August 2026 at 19:00 BST
Madison KeysMadison Keys
56%
Marta Kostyuk
44%
Madison Keys
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Marta Kostyuk
56%
Madison Keys
44%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Marta Kostyuk to win (56%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Marta Kostyuk Marta KostyukMadison Keys Madison Keys
2072
Elo rating
2030
Key statWorld ranking: Marta Kostyuk #11 · Madison Keys #23
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Marta Kostyuk and Madison Keys using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 56% for Marta Kostyuk and 44% for Madison Keys.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Marta Kostyuk to win, rated at 56%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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