Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova — prediction & probabilities
Aryna SabalenkaVS
Ekaterina Alexandrova73%
Aryna Sabalenka27%
Ekaterina AlexandrovaAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
Aryna Sabalenka
73%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
27%
Straight sets
55%
Match goes the distance
45%
Suggested market
Aryna Sabalenka to win (73%)
OddsWasp confidence
High
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Neutral venue — no home advantage applied
Aryna SabalenkaEkaterina Alexandrova Elo rating
Key statWorld ranking: Aryna Sabalenka #1 · Ekaterina Alexandrova #19
Head-to-head historyAryna Sabalenka won 1, Ekaterina Alexandrova won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
- 2026-06-17Aryna Sabalenka(1) Aryna Sabalenka (BLR) bt Ekaterina Alexandrova (RUS) 6-4 6-4
OddsWasp ran Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.
OddsWasp gives Aryna Sabalenka a 73% chance of winning the match, against 27% for Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Aryna Sabalenka to win (73%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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