Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino — prediction & probabilities

Alex MichelsenAlex Michelsen
VSMubadala DC Open
29 July 2026 at 23:00 BST
Adrian MannarinoAdrian Mannarino
52%
Alex Michelsen
48%
Adrian Mannarino
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OddsWasp confidence: Low

Probabilities

Alex Michelsen
52%
Adrian Mannarino
48%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Alex Michelsen to win (52%)
OddsWasp confidence
Low

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Alex Michelsen Alex MichelsenAdrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino
1960
Elo rating
1946
Key statWorld ranking: Alex Michelsen #40 · Adrian Mannarino #47
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Alex Michelsen vs Adrian Mannarino at Mubadala DC Open through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Alex Michelsen a 52% chance of winning the match, against 48% for Adrian Mannarino.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Alex Michelsen to win (52%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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