San Jose Earthquakes vs Orlando City SC — prediction & probabilities
San Jose EarthquakesVS
Orlando City SC84%
1 — San Jose Earthquakes9%
X6%
2 — Orlando City SCAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: High
Probabilities
1 — San Jose Earthquakes
84%
X — Draw
9%
2 — Orlando City SC
6%
Over 2.5 goals
84%
Both teams to score
61%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
68%
Double chance: San Jose Earthquakes or draw
94%
Double chance: draw or Orlando City SC
16%
Double chance: either team to win
90%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
79%
San Jose Earthquakes to win & over 2.5 goals
74%
Orlando City SC to win & over 2.5 goals
5%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
58%
Expected goals
3.62 : 1
Most likely score
3 - 0
Suggested market
San Jose Earthquakes to win (84%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Jose Earthquakes | 1.47 | 62.6% | 84% |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.7% | 9% |
| Orlando City SC | 4.90 | 18.7% | 6% |
San Jose Earthquakes to winEdge on the suggested market: +21.4 ppExpected value per 1 staked: +0.23
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 09:19 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 3.62 vs 1
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked
OddsWasp compared San Jose Earthquakes and Orlando City SC using attacking output, defensive solidity and home advantage in the MLS.
OddsWasp calculates expected goals at 3.62 for San Jose Earthquakes and 1 for Orlando City SC, translating into probabilities of 84% (home), 9% (draw) and 6% (away).
OddsWasp leans towards San Jose Earthquakes to win (84%). For context, it puts over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams scoring at 61%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
Advertisement
More matches in this league
FINALMLS
Nashville SC1
Atlanta United0✓Nashville SC to win · 72%
FINALMLS
LA Galaxy0
LAFC3✗Under 2.5 goals · 69%
00:30MLS
Columbus Crew38%
New York City FC31%HighUnder 2.5 goals · 68%
X 31%00:30MLS
FC Cincinnati24%
Vancouver Whitecaps57%MediumVancouver Whitecaps to win · 57%
X 19%00:30MLS
Inter Miami43%
Chicago Fire FC36%HighOver 2.5 goals · 72%
X 21%00:30MLS
New England Revolution54%
Toronto FC18%HighUnder 2.5 goals · 66%
X 28%