Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders — prediction & probabilities
Austin FCVS
Seattle Sounders31%
1 — Austin FC30%
X40%
2 — Seattle SoundersAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
1 — Austin FC
31%
X — Draw
30%
2 — Seattle Sounders
40%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Both teams to score
42%
More markets to explore
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
Double chance: Austin FC or draw
60%
Double chance: draw or Seattle Sounders
69%
Double chance: either team to win
70%
No draw & over 2.5 goals
31%
Austin FC to win & over 2.5 goals
13%
Seattle Sounders to win & over 2.5 goals
18%
Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals
29%
Expected goals
0.96 : 1.14
Most likely score
0 - 1
Suggested market
Under 2.5 goals (65%)
Market check
| Odds | Market (no-vig) | OddsWasp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin FC | 3.45 | 26.6% | 31% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.3% | 30% |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.95 | 47.1% | 40% |
DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-07-19 09:19 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Austin FCSeattle Sounders Attack
Defence
Key statExpected goals: 0.96 vs 1.14
Head-to-head historyAustin FC won 1, Seattle Sounders won 1 of their last 2 recorded meetings
- 2025-09-21Austin FC2–1
- 2025-06-29Seattle Sounders2–0
OddsWasp ran this MLS meeting between Austin FC and Seattle Sounders through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.
OddsWasp estimates a 31% chance of a home win, 30% for the draw and 40% for an away win, with 0-1 the single most likely scoreline.
Based on these probabilities, OddsWasp's strongest read is Under 2.5 goals, rated at 65%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 35% and both teams to score at 42%.
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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