Santa Clara vs C.D. Nacional — prediction & probabilities

Santa Clara

VSLiga Portugal
10 August 2026 at 20:15 BST

C.D. Nacional

44%

1 — Santa Clara

26%

30%

2 — C.D. Nacional

Insufficient data

OddsWasp has no rating data for one or both sides here, so the probabilities below reflect venue effects only — not team strength. No pick is published for this match.

Probabilities

1 — Santa Clara

44%

X — Draw

26%

2 — C.D. Nacional

30%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

Both teams to score

52%

More markets to explore

Over 1.5 goals

73%

Over 3.5 goals

26%

Double chance: Santa Clara or draw

70%

Double chance: draw or C.D. Nacional

56%

Double chance: either team to win

74%

No draw & over 2.5 goals

42%

Santa Clara to win & over 2.5 goals

25%

C.D. Nacional to win & over 2.5 goals

17%

Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals

40%

Expected goals

1.45 : 1.15

Most likely score

1 - 1

Market check

	Odds	Market (no-vig)	OddsWasp
Santa Clara	1.91	48.5%	44%
Draw	3.30	28.1%	26%
C.D. Nacional	3.95	23.4%	30%

DraftKings odds via ESPN, captured at the last page refresh (2026-08-06 03:54 UTC). Prices move — always check the current price before acting.

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Santa ClaraC.D. Nacional

1.00

Attack

1.00

Defence

1.00

Key statExpected goals: 1.45 vs 1.15

Head-to-head historySanta Clara won 1, C.D. Nacional won 0 of their last 2 recorded meetings (1 draws)

2026-05-11Santa Clara2–0
2026-01-11Draw3–3

OddsWasp ran this Liga Portugal meeting between Santa Clara and C.D. Nacional through its Poisson goal calculation, which weighs each side's scoring and conceding rates.

OddsWasp gives Santa Clara a 44% chance of winning, against 30% for C.D. Nacional and 26% for a draw. The most probable score is 1-1.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — upsets happen constantly in football. Always gamble responsibly (18+).