Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun — prediction & probabilities
Phoenix MercuryVS
Connecticut Sun53%
Phoenix Mercury47%
Connecticut SunAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Phoenix Mercury
53%
Connecticut Sun
47%
Over 164.5 points
44%
Projected score
82 - 81
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Under 164.5 points (56%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Phoenix MercuryConnecticut Sun Attack
Defence
Key statExpected points: 82 vs 81
Head-to-head historyPhoenix Mercury won 2, Connecticut Sun won 1 of their last 3 recorded meetings
- 2025-09-06Connecticut Sun84–87
- 2025-08-06Phoenix Mercury82–66
- 2025-06-18Phoenix Mercury83–75
OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Phoenix Mercury and Connecticut Sun on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.
OddsWasp gives Phoenix Mercury a 53% chance of winning against 47% for Connecticut Sun, with a projected score of 82-81.
On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 163 points; its strongest read is Under 164.5 points (56%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
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