Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury — prediction & probabilities
Los Angeles SparksVS
Phoenix Mercury60%
Los Angeles Sparks40%
Phoenix MercuryAdvertisement
OddsWasp confidence: Medium
Probabilities
Los Angeles Sparks
60%
Phoenix Mercury
40%
Over 164.5 points
84%
More markets to explore
Los Angeles Sparks to win by 2.5+ points
52%
Phoenix Mercury to win by 2.5+ points
32%
Projected score
93 - 90
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Los Angeles Sparks to win (60%)
How OddsWasp analyzes this match
Home-field advantage applied
Los Angeles SparksPhoenix Mercury Attack
Defence
Key statExpected points: 93 vs 90
Head-to-head historyLos Angeles Sparks won 3, Phoenix Mercury won 4 of their last 7 recorded meetings
- 2026-07-22Phoenix Mercury86–82
- 2026-06-14Los Angeles Sparks111–102
- 2026-05-22Los Angeles Sparks97–88
- 2025-09-10Los Angeles Sparks88–83
- 2025-08-27Phoenix Mercury92–84
OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.
OddsWasp gives Los Angeles Sparks a 60% chance of winning against 40% for Phoenix Mercury, with a projected score of 93-90.
On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 183 points; its strongest read is Los Angeles Sparks to win (60%).
These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).
Advertisement
More matches in this league
FINALWNBA
Connecticut Sun75Phoenix Mercury72✗Over 164.5 points · 68%
77–72WNBA
Washington Mystics61%
Atlanta Dream39%MediumWashington Mystics to win · 61%
FINALWNBA
Minnesota Lynx82Los Angeles Sparks89✗Minnesota Lynx to win · 76%
FINALWNBA
Portland Fire97
Toronto Tempo83✓Portland Fire to win · 77%
18:00WNBA
Minnesota Lynx60%
Las Vegas Aces40%MediumMinnesota Lynx to win · 60%
20:30WNBA
Chicago Sky51%
Indiana Fever49%HighOver 164.5 points · 92%