Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury — prediction & probabilities

Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks
VSWNBA
22 July 2026 at 20:00 BST
Phoenix MercuryPhoenix Mercury
61%
Los Angeles Sparks
39%
Phoenix Mercury
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Los Angeles Sparks
61%
Phoenix Mercury
39%
Over 164.5 points
80%

More markets to explore

Los Angeles Sparks to win by 3.5+ points
49%
Phoenix Mercury to win by 3.5+ points
28%
Projected score
92 - 88
Totals line
164.5
Suggested market
Los Angeles Sparks to win (61%)

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Home-field advantage applied

Los Angeles Sparks Los Angeles SparksPhoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury
89.1
Attack
84.0
95.7
Defence
90.9
Key statExpected points: 92 vs 88
Head-to-head historyLos Angeles Sparks won 3, Phoenix Mercury won 3 of their last 6 recorded meetings
  • 2026-06-14Los Angeles Sparks111–102
  • 2026-05-22Los Angeles Sparks97–88
  • 2025-09-10Los Angeles Sparks88–83
  • 2025-08-27Phoenix Mercury92–84
  • 2025-06-01Phoenix Mercury85–80

OddsWasp evaluated this WNBA game between Los Angeles Sparks and Phoenix Mercury on scoring efficiency at both ends of the floor and home-court edge.

OddsWasp gives Los Angeles Sparks a 61% chance of winning against 39% for Phoenix Mercury, with a projected score of 92-88.

On the totals side, OddsWasp's projection sits near 180 points; its strongest read is Los Angeles Sparks to win (61%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — single NBA games swing on a handful of possessions. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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