Zhang Shuai vs Jelena Ostapenko — prediction & probabilities

Zhang ShuaiZhang Shuai
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
4 August 2026 at 20:30 BST
Jelena OstapenkoJelena Ostapenko
41%
Zhang Shuai
59%
Jelena Ostapenko
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Zhang Shuai
41%
Jelena Ostapenko
59%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Jelena Ostapenko to win (59%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Zhang Shuai Zhang ShuaiJelena Ostapenko Jelena Ostapenko
1922
Elo rating
1988
Key statWorld ranking: Zhang Shuai #62 · Jelena Ostapenko #29
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Zhang Shuai vs Jelena Ostapenko at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Zhang Shuai a 41% chance of winning the match, against 59% for Jelena Ostapenko.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Jelena Ostapenko to win (59%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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