Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys — prediction & probabilities

Marta KostyukMarta Kostyuk
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
7 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Madison KeysMadison Keys
56%
Marta Kostyuk
44%
Madison Keys
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Marta Kostyuk
56%
Madison Keys
44%
Straight sets
50%
Match goes the distance
50%
Suggested market
Marta Kostyuk to win (56%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Marta Kostyuk Marta KostyukMadison Keys Madison Keys
2072
Elo rating
2030
Key statWorld ranking: Marta Kostyuk #11 · Madison Keys #23
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Marta Kostyuk a 56% chance of winning the match, against 44% for Madison Keys.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Marta Kostyuk to win (56%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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