Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech — prediction & probabilities

Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Magdalena FrechMagdalena Frech
63%
Jessica Pegula
37%
Magdalena Frech
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OddsWasp confidence: Medium

Probabilities

Jessica Pegula
63%
Magdalena Frech
37%
Straight sets
51%
Match goes the distance
49%
Suggested market
Jessica Pegula to win (63%)
OddsWasp confidence
Medium

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Jessica Pegula Jessica PegulaMagdalena Frech Magdalena Frech
2040
Elo rating
1949
Key statWorld ranking: Jessica Pegula #3 · Magdalena Frech #45
Head-to-head historyJessica Pegula won 1, Magdalena Frech won 0 of their last 1 recorded meetings
  • 2026-07-30Jessica Pegula(1) Jessica Pegula (USA) bt Magdalena Frech (POL) 3-6 6-3 6-0

OddsWasp ran Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frech at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Jessica Pegula a 63% chance of winning the match, against 37% for Magdalena Frech.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Jessica Pegula to win (63%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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