Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima — prediction & probabilities

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 05:00 BST
Moyuka UchijimaMoyuka Uchijima
87%
Aryna Sabalenka
13%
Moyuka Uchijima
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Aryna Sabalenka
87%
Moyuka Uchijima
13%
Straight sets
65%
Match goes the distance
35%
Suggested market
Aryna Sabalenka to win (87%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Aryna Sabalenka Aryna SabalenkaMoyuka Uchijima Moyuka Uchijima
2200
Elo rating
1874
Key statWorld ranking: Aryna Sabalenka #1 · Moyuka Uchijima #107
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp compared Aryna Sabalenka and Moyuka Uchijima using Elo-style strength ratings built from tour-level results (National Bank Open presented by Rogers).

OddsWasp's ratings translate into win probabilities of 87% for Aryna Sabalenka and 13% for Moyuka Uchijima.

OddsWasp's strongest read is Aryna Sabalenka to win, rated at 87%.

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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