Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima — prediction & probabilities

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka
VSNational Bank Open presented by Rogers
5 August 2026 at 00:00 BST
Moyuka UchijimaMoyuka Uchijima
87%
Aryna Sabalenka
13%
Moyuka Uchijima
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OddsWasp confidence: High

Probabilities

Aryna Sabalenka
87%
Moyuka Uchijima
13%
Straight sets
65%
Match goes the distance
35%
Suggested market
Aryna Sabalenka to win (87%)
OddsWasp confidence
High

How OddsWasp analyzes this match

Neutral venue — no home advantage applied

Aryna Sabalenka Aryna SabalenkaMoyuka Uchijima Moyuka Uchijima
2200
Elo rating
1871
Key statWorld ranking: Aryna Sabalenka #1 · Moyuka Uchijima #111
Head-to-head historyNo meetings found in the recent seasons checked

OddsWasp ran Aryna Sabalenka vs Moyuka Uchijima at National Bank Open presented by Rogers through its rating calculation, which converts the gap in player strength into a win probability.

OddsWasp gives Aryna Sabalenka a 87% chance of winning the match, against 13% for Moyuka Uchijima.

Based on the rating gap, OddsWasp leans towards Aryna Sabalenka to win (87%).

These are OddsWasp probabilities, not guarantees — tennis matches turn on a handful of points. Always gamble responsibly (18+).

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